FiveThirtyEight: Residents of struggling cities opt to skip town


The conclusion I drew here was that things have to get really bad before most people pack up and leave. According to Casselman, the correlation between unemployment and migration is weak unless you’re in either the bottom 5 or top 5 percent.

That being said, migration is certainly a symptom that says something about the health of an area. Pittsburgh’s slowing population decline as the city recovered in the 2000s was always one of the most important elements of the city becoming revitalized.


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